Chapter XXIII · Budget Analysis 2026
Ministry of National Economy
Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium
1 161 281,4
Total Budget (MFt)
254 255,5
Year-1 Saving (MFt)
21.9%
Saving Rate
91 839,6
Immediate Cuts (MFt)
Key Takeaway
Largest single cut: Tourism Development Activities — Operating — 54 617,3 MFt
Chapter XXIII: Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium (Ministry of National Economy)
Overview
Chapter XXIII covers the Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium (Ministry of National Economy, hereafter NGM) and all agencies, subordinate bodies, and chapter-managed appropriations under its authority. This is one of the largest and most economically consequential chapters in the Hungarian central budget. It encompasses the ministry’s own administration, several major regulatory and operational agencies, and a sweeping collection of chapter-managed and centrally managed appropriation lines covering business development subsidies, tourism development, state-owned enterprise investments, cultural subsidies, postal compensation, and international dues.
Total chapter expenditure: 1,161,281.4 millió Ft Total chapter revenue: 163,198.4 millió Ft
The chapter is dominated by two line items of enormous fiscal weight: the Széchenyi Kártya (Széchenyi Card) subsidized lending programs at 324,690.0 millió Ft, and the Közbeszerzési és Ellátási Főigazgatóság (Central Procurement and Supply Directorate) operating budget, whose dologi kiadás (material expenditure) line alone stands at 194,448.3 millió Ft, reflecting its role as the whole-of-government procurement intermediary. Together, these two items account for roughly 45 percent of the chapter’s total expenditure.
Expenditure Analysis
1. Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium igazgatása (NGM Administration)
- Current allocation: 18,274.8 millió Ft (expenditure side: Személyi juttatások 14,286.8 + Járulékok 2,110.8 + Dologi kiadások 1,816.1 + Egyéb működési 32.3 + Beruházások 8.8 + Egyéb felhalmozási 20.0)
- Own revenue: 771.9 millió Ft operating + 20.0 millió Ft capital
- Net cost: approximately 18,274.8 millió Ft gross
- Classification: Nominal Freeze
- Rationale: Any state operating within the night-watchman framework requires a ministry-level administrative apparatus to coordinate fiscal and regulatory affairs. However, the current personnel headcount implied by 14,286.8 millió Ft in wages for a ministry with a very broad industrial policy mandate is excessive relative to the narrow core functions defensible under Austrian economics (property rights protection, contract enforcement, and genuine public-order regulation). A nominal freeze forces real staff costs to compress through natural attrition over time, gradually right-sizing the administrative core.
- Transition mechanism: Freeze all line items at 2026 nominal levels. Transfer industrial policy, investment promotion, and sectoral development units to dissolution or private-sector merger. Retain only core regulatory and fiscal coordination functions (tax policy coordination with NAV, treasury oversight, legal compliance). Staff reductions through attrition only; no forced redundancies in year one.
- Affected groups: Ministry civil servants (estimated several hundred FTEs in non-core functions). Their skills in regulatory and procurement law are transferable to private legal, financial, and consulting sectors.
2. Nemzeti Akkreditáló Hatóság (National Accreditation Authority, NAH)
- Current allocation: 1,081.9 millió Ft (Személyi 652.1 + Járulékok 85.7 + Dologi 332.1 + Egyéb működési 12.0)
- Own revenue: 890.0 millió Ft (operating)
- Net cost to taxpayer: approximately 191.9 millió Ft
- Classification: Nominal Freeze
- Rationale: The NAH is Hungary’s national accreditation body, operating under EU Regulation 765/2008, which mandates each member state to designate a single national accreditation body. Its function — certifying calibration laboratories, testing laboratories, certification bodies, and inspection bodies against ISO/IEC standards — has genuine market underpinnings: accreditation creates information symmetry and reduces transaction costs. However, the legal monopoly on accreditation is itself a state-enforced barrier that prevents competing private accreditation bodies from emerging. The fact that the NAH generates 890.0 millió Ft in own revenue against 1,081.9 millió Ft in expenditure suggests it is close to self-funding and the subsidy is modest. A nominal freeze is appropriate; longer-run policy should pursue opening accreditation to competing private bodies, consistent with the EA (European co-operation for Accreditation) framework evolution.
- Transition mechanism: Freeze nominal allocation. Eliminate the legal monopoly on accreditation within 3 years to allow private accreditation bodies. Over 5 years, the fee revenue base should cover full operational costs, making the appropriation unnecessary.
- Affected groups: Laboratory and certification businesses subject to accreditation fees. Cost of accreditation may rise slightly absent the subsidy, but this correctly prices the service and aligns with user-pays principles.
3. Nemzeti Kereskedelmi és Fogyasztóvédelmi Hatóság (National Trade and Consumer Protection Authority, NKFH)
- Current allocation: 3,814.2 millió Ft (Személyi 1,854.5 + Járulékok 255.0 + Dologi 1,174.7 + Beruházások 530.0)
- Own revenue: 20.1 millió Ft (operating)
- Net cost to taxpayer: approximately 3,794.1 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (5 years)
- Rationale: The NKFH was established in its current form in 2025 by merging the former consumer protection inspectorate functions with trade regulation. From a Misesian standpoint, the case for a state consumer protection agency rests on the argument of information asymmetry — but this is largely addressed through market mechanisms: reputation, certification, contractual liability, and private consumer organizations. State consumer protection agencies create moral hazard by allowing consumers and sellers alike to substitute statutory enforcement for contractual and reputational discipline. The 3,814.2 millió Ft appropriation funds a large enforcement bureaucracy whose primary output is regulatory uncertainty for businesses. The capital investment of 530.0 millió Ft in new physical infrastructure during a phase-out period should be deferred entirely. Core fraud enforcement (which overlaps with criminal law) should transfer to general law enforcement within the Ministry of Interior.
- Transition mechanism: Year 1: Halt the 530.0 millió Ft capital investment. Years 1-3: Transfer criminal fraud cases to police/prosecution. Years 3-5: Consolidate remaining product safety notification functions into the Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal’s customs border inspection role (which is retained on Keep grounds). Close the authority by end of year 5. Enable private consumer advocacy organizations to operate freely in the vacated space.
- Affected groups: NKFH staff (approximately 800-1,200 inspectors and administrators). Businesses in retail and trade that currently face NKFH inspections will benefit from reduced compliance burden. Individual consumers lose a free complaint resolution channel but retain civil courts and private arbitration.
4. Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal (National Tax and Customs Authority, NAV)
- Current allocation: 304,301.5 millió Ft (Személyi 193,109.6 + Járulékok 25,440.2 + Dologi 62,496.3 + Ellátotti juttatások 2.9 + Egyéb működési 113.8 + Beruházások 21,936.5 + Felújítások 1,010.2 + Egyéb felhalmozási 192.0)
- Own revenue: 9,477.2 millió Ft (operating) + 192.1 millió Ft (capital)
- Net cost to taxpayer: approximately 294,632.2 millió Ft
- Classification: Keep (core functions) with Nominal Freeze on administrative sub-functions
- Rationale: The NAV combines tax collection and customs enforcement. Both functions are essential in the transitional framework: tax collection is a prerequisite for financing the retained core state (courts, police, defense), and customs enforcement enforces the border integrity that national defense presupposes. Without the NAV, the entire revenue base of the central government — including the spending on the keep-items themselves — would collapse. However, the NAV’s current scale reflects the complexity of Hungary’s tax code, not merely the cost of collecting taxes. Austria’s calculation problem insight applies here: as the tax code is simplified (eliminating hundreds of preferential regimes, cross-subsidies, and sectoral carve-outs), the NAV’s enforcement workload would fall significantly, enabling a genuine reduction in staffing over time. The 21,936.5 millió Ft capital expenditure line warrants scrutiny — much of this appears to be IT investment in enforcement systems.
- Transition mechanism: Keep all enforcement and collection functions intact. Subject capital expenditure to a detailed cost-benefit review; any IT system development exceeding 2,000 millió Ft per project should be independently audited for value. As tax simplification proceeds (SZJA flat rate retained, corporate tax simplified, excises consolidated), allow natural attrition to reduce headcount by an estimated 15-20% over 10 years.
- Affected groups: NAV’s approximately 25,000-30,000 employees. Businesses and individuals subject to tax filing — they would be direct beneficiaries of any simplification that reduces compliance costs.
5. Közbeszerzési és Ellátási Főigazgatóság (Central Procurement and Supply Directorate, KEF)
- Current allocation: 215,860.0 millió Ft (Személyi 15,124.9 + Járulékok 2,075.1 + Dologi 194,448.3 + Beruházások 2,603.2 + Felújítások 1,608.5)
- Own revenue: 28,200.0 millió Ft (operating) + 200.0 millió Ft (capital)
- Net cost to taxpayer: approximately 187,460.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (3 years) on the discretionary supply functions; Nominal Freeze on the core centralized procurement function
- Rationale: The KEF performs two distinct functions. First, it runs centralized procurement for government-wide contracts (office supplies, IT equipment, vehicles, utilities). Second, it supplies office facilities, vehicle fleets, and infrastructure to ministries and government organs. The dologi kiadás (material expenditure) of 194,448.3 millió Ft is extraordinarily high relative to the KEF’s own staff costs of 15,124.9 millió Ft — this represents pass-through spending on contracts placed on behalf of the entire government. From an Austrian perspective, centralized procurement removes price discovery from individual buyers, suppresses competitive pressure from decentralized purchase decisions, and creates concentrated rent-seeking opportunities at the procurement authority itself. The claimed economies of scale from volume discounts are partially offset by the bureaucratic overhead and the loss of buyer-specific information about quality-price trade-offs. The supply function (building management, vehicle fleets) constitutes corporate-welfare-style support for ministry operations that could be contracted directly on competitive markets.
- Transition mechanism: Years 1-3: Decentralize procurement authority to individual ministries. Each ministry should contract directly through competitive tender under a simplified public procurement law. Eliminate the facility management and vehicle fleet functions through outsourcing to private operators. Year 3: Wind down KEF to a small framework contract oversight office. Retain a skeleton secretariat (estimated 100-200 FTE) to manage framework contracts between private suppliers and the state — nominal freeze on that residual.
- Affected groups: KEF’s approximately 1,000-1,500 employees. Government supplier companies currently benefiting from centralized KEF contracts. Individual ministries gain procurement autonomy but bear increased procurement management costs.
6. Magyar Államkincstár (Hungarian State Treasury)
- Current allocation: 94,399.9 millió Ft (Személyi 45,449.3 + Járulékok 6,647.8 + Dologi 35,630.0 + Egyéb működési 672.8 + Beruházások 5,878.5 + Felújítások 100.0 + Egyéb felhalmozási 21.5)
- Own revenue: 29,491.3 millió Ft (operating) + 50.0 millió Ft (capital)
- Net cost to taxpayer: approximately 64,858.6 millió Ft
- Classification: Keep (core treasury functions) with Nominal Freeze
- Rationale: The Magyar Államkincstár (State Treasury) is responsible for government cash management, budget execution payment flows, accounting for budget institutions, administering social transfer payments, and maintaining the government’s banking accounts with the Magyar Nemzeti Bank. These are essential functions in any state: without a functional treasury, government payments (including keep-items such as police wages and court operations) cannot be executed. The Treasury’s extensive network of county-level branch offices is a legacy of its role in distributing social benefits to beneficiaries. As social transfer programs are phased out under the transition framework, this branch network will progressively lose its workload justification, enabling significant staff reduction through attrition. The own revenue of 29,491.3 millió Ft is substantial and derives from fees charged to institutions for treasury services. A nominal freeze is appropriate to allow real-value erosion of the non-core portions while protecting core payment infrastructure.
- Transition mechanism: Freeze nominal allocation. As social benefit programs phase out (pensions, housing allowances, family allowances), the Treasury’s transfer-distribution workload falls, triggering natural staff reduction. Retain payment system infrastructure. Over 10 years, target a 30-40% reduction in headcount through attrition.
- Affected groups: Treasury staff (approximately 5,000-6,000 employees across county branches). Budget institutions that use Treasury services. No direct service disruption for nominal freeze.
7. Nemzeti Koncessziós Iroda (National Concession Office, NKI)
- Current allocation: 991.2 millió Ft (Személyi 172.6 + Járulékok 23.7 + Dologi 790.0 + Beruházások 4.9)
- Own revenue: 0
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: The Nemzeti Koncessziós Iroda was established in 2020 to manage the state’s concession contracts — the legal instrument by which the Hungarian state grants monopoly rights to private entities (in highway operation, bus transport, broadcasting, and other sectors) in exchange for fees and service obligations. From a Misesian perspective, concessions are themselves instruments of state-enforced monopoly privilege. The NKI’s role is to administer and extend a system that restricts voluntary exchange and competition. The correct Austrian reform is to abolish concession arrangements and allow open competitive entry in the relevant sectors — not to maintain a bureaucracy to manage the monopoly privileges. As concession contracts reach their natural term or are renegotiated toward open competition, the NKI’s function becomes progressively void. The relatively small scale (991.2 millió Ft) means the administrative cost of elimination is trivial. The dologi kiadás of 790.0 millió Ft (likely external legal and consulting costs for managing complex concession contracts) underscores the resource drain from maintaining a complex concession system.
- Transition mechanism: In the 2026 budget cycle, begin the legislative process to eliminate mandatory concession requirements for transport, broadcasting, and other currently concessioned sectors. Place NKI on administrative standby: no new concession contracts, only wind-down of existing ones. Close the office within 2 years as remaining contracts transfer to sector-specific regulatory oversight or expire.
- Affected groups: NKI staff (very small — approximately 30-50 FTEs per public data). Concession holders (highway operators, bus transport companies) will face eventual transition to competitive open markets.
8. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Vállalkozásfejlesztési feladatok: Széchenyi Kártya Programok (Chapter-Managed Appropriations — Business Development: Széchenyi Card Programs)
- Current allocation: 324,690.0 millió Ft (operating kiadás) + 93,028.0 millió Ft own operating revenue
- Net state cost: approximately 231,662.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (5 years)
- Rationale: The Széchenyi Kártya Program is Hungary’s largest state-directed subsidized credit scheme for small and medium-sized enterprises, offering preferential loans at below-market interest rates (currently fixed at 3% per annum for most MAX+ products, versus market rates of 8-12%). The program is administered through KAVOSZ Zrt. and the banking system with state guarantees. From an Austrian capital theory perspective, this program is a textbook generator of malinvestment. By channeling credit at below-market rates to SMEs, the program: (1) artificially lowers the cost of capital, inducing entrepreneurs to undertake projects that are not sustainable at real market interest rates; (2) crowds out genuine credit allocation by private banks, who are displaced by the subsidized instrument; (3) creates a dependency among recipient businesses on continued state support, distorting business planning horizons; and (4) concentrates credit risk on the state guarantee system. The 93,028.0 millió Ft in “own revenue” recorded for this line almost certainly represents repayment flows and guarantee fee income recycled through the program — not independent market revenue. The Agrár Széchenyi Kártya sub-program (20,820.3 millió Ft) applies the same mechanism to agriculture, layering agricultural malinvestment on top of the general SME distortion.
- Transition mechanism: Year 1: No new commitments under the program. Year 2: Outstanding loan guarantees remain in place to avoid shock defaults; no new guarantees issued. Years 3-5: Allow the loan portfolio to run off naturally as loans mature. By year 5, the program’s state cost approaches zero. SME financing transitions entirely to private bank credit markets. The interest rate normalization — though painful for businesses that over-leveraged on the subsidized product — is necessary to reallocate capital to genuinely productive uses.
- Affected groups: Approximately 50,000-100,000 SME borrowers currently under Széchenyi Kártya contracts. Banks that participated as intermediaries will face a reduced subsidized pipeline but gain in genuine credit assessment capacity. The “unseen” beneficiaries are the companies that were crowded out of private credit markets and the consumers who would have received lower prices from those more efficient competitors.
9. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Agrár Széchenyi Kártya Konstrukciók (Agricultural Széchenyi Card)
- Current allocation: 20,820.3 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (5 years)
- Rationale: Same as the general Széchenyi Kártya above. Agricultural credit subsidies create additional distortions by interfering with the agricultural land and commodity markets. Below-market financing incentivizes over-investment in fixed agricultural capital (machinery, land improvement) in excess of what market signals would justify. This exacerbates cyclical vulnerability in agriculture.
- Transition mechanism: Identical to the general Széchenyi Kártya phase-out. Coordinate with the agricultural chapter (Ministry of Agriculture) to ensure no parallel replacement subsidy emerges.
- Affected groups: Agricultural SMEs reliant on the subsidized credit. Land markets may experience a correction as the credit-fueled demand for agricultural land moderates.
10. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Intézményi kezességi díjtámogatások (Institutional Guarantee Fee Subsidies)
- Current allocation: 5,200.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: This line finances state subsidies on the guarantee fees charged to SMEs by state-linked guarantee institutions (primarily Garantiqa Hitelgarancia Zrt. and MV-Garantiqa). Subsidizing the cost of guarantee fees doubly distorts credit markets: first, state guarantees already reduce the risk premium in lending below its natural level; second, subsidizing the fee on top of the guarantee further depresses the price signal. This is a corporate welfare program concentrated on businesses that are, by definition, insufficiently creditworthy to obtain market financing on normal terms. From a Misesian perspective, these are exactly the businesses that should either attract capital at market risk-adjusted prices or contract to a sustainable scale. The guarantee subsidy is a hidden transfer from taxpayers to marginal borrowers.
- Transition mechanism: Terminate in the 2026 budget cycle. Guarantee fee revenues continue to accrue to the guarantee institutions without state subsidy. Businesses that relied solely on the fee subsidy (rather than the underlying guarantee) will face modestly higher borrowing costs — a correct market adjustment.
- Affected groups: SMEs using state-backed guarantees. The immediate cost increase is modest (guarantee fees are typically 0.5-1.5% of the loan value annually).
11. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — MFB Hitelprogramok (MFB Loan Programs)
- Current allocation: 500.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: The Magyar Fejlesztési Bank (MFB, Hungarian Development Bank) is a state development bank. State development banks embody the Misesian calculation problem in concentrated form: without genuine market prices for capital, a development bank cannot determine which projects deserve funding. The MFB’s 0% or near-0% programs (such as the MFB Start Hitelprogram and the GINOP-linked products) create interest rate distortions that compound the already significant Széchenyi Kártya distortions. The 500.0 millió Ft appropriation here appears to be a budgetary contribution to specific MFB loan programs channeled through the chapter (beyond the MFB’s own capitalization, which appears in other chapters). As a small but directionally wrong item, it should be cut immediately.
- Transition mechanism: Zero the line in the 2026 budget. The MFB itself should be subject to a separate privatization or wind-down strategy outside this chapter’s scope.
- Affected groups: Small number of businesses receiving MFB-program loans through this channel.
12. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Divat- és kreatívipart érintő vállalkozásfejlesztési programok (Fashion and Creative Industry Development Programs)
- Current allocation: 3,144.7 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: State subsidies to the fashion and creative industries are quintessential industrial policy: the state directs resources toward specific sectors based on political and cultural preference rather than consumer demand. There is no market failure argument that justifies subsidizing fashion design firms or creative sector companies that a voluntary consumer market would not support. This program displaces private capital and distorts relative prices within the cultural and creative economy. The “unseen” are the alternative goods and services consumers would have purchased had these resources remained in private hands.
- Transition mechanism: Terminate all commitments in the 2026 budget. Any multi-year grants already contracted should be wound down at the first contractual break point.
- Affected groups: Fashion design firms, creative sector companies, and any intermediary promotion agencies currently receiving grants. The creative industries in Hungary have a robust private base and do not require subsidy to produce market-facing output.
13. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Minimálbér emeléshez kapcsolódó szociális hozzájárulási adó támogatás (Social Contribution Tax Relief Linked to Minimum Wage Increases)
- Current allocation: 12,000.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: This line subsidizes employers by reducing their social contribution tax (szociális hozzájárulási adó) liability to offset the cost of mandated minimum wage increases. This is a politically motivated transfer that attempts to have things both ways: mandate a minimum wage increase (which already distorts the labor market by pricing low-productivity workers out of employment) and then compensate employers for the cost. The correct Austrian approach is to eliminate both the minimum wage mandate and the compensation subsidy. The subsidy is wasteful because it transfers public funds to employers regardless of whether they actually hired affected workers; it is also economically incoherent because it partially unwinds the intended effect of the minimum wage mandate it purports to accommodate.
- Transition mechanism: Cut in the 2026 budget cycle. Separately, begin the process of reviewing minimum wage legislation. The 12,000.0 millió Ft saving is fully realized in year one.
- Affected groups: Employers of minimum-wage workers, particularly in labor-intensive sectors (retail, food service, cleaning, agriculture). The cost burden of the minimum wage falls back on these employers in year one without the subsidy; however, in a liberalized labor market, wage levels should reflect productivity.
14. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Egyéb vállalkozásfejlesztési feladatok (Other Business Development Activities)
- Current allocation: 5,306.0 millió Ft (operating revenue / budgetary return)
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: This catch-all line for miscellaneous business development activities — which includes revenues from previous business-support program repayments — reflects the administrative overhead and residual transfers of an extensive industrial policy apparatus. Absent specificity, this item should be terminated.
- Transition mechanism: Zero the line. Any incoming repayment flows should be returned to the general revenue account.
- Affected groups: Recipients of miscellaneous business development grants and program administrators.
15. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Iparfejlesztési feladatok (Industrial Development Activities)
- Current allocation: 1,148.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: State-directed industrial policy is incompatible with market price signals. The iparfejlesztési (industrial development) appropriation funds grants, studies, and promotional activities aimed at specific industrial sectors. This is the small-scale manifestation of the calculation problem: state planners cannot identify which industries merit development better than entrepreneurs risking their own capital. The 1,148.0 millió Ft is fully replaceable by private-sector trade associations and research institutions funded voluntarily by industry participants.
- Transition mechanism: Cut in the 2026 budget. Industry associations may voluntarily replicate any genuinely valued research or standards activities.
- Affected groups: Industrial sector associations and companies receiving development grants.
16. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Technológia fejlesztési feladatok (Technology Development Activities)
- Current allocation: 574.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: State technology development funding suffers from the same calculation-problem defect as industrial policy generally. Venture capital and private R&D investment allocate resources to technology development based on expected consumer demand; a 574.0 millió Ft state appropriation distorts this allocation toward politically favored technologies. Hungary’s privately funded R&D ecosystem would be better served by lower corporate tax rates (enabling firms to retain more capital for self-funded R&D) than by state technology grants.
- Transition mechanism: Cut in the 2026 budget cycle.
- Affected groups: Technology grant recipients, primarily SMEs in manufacturing and ICT sectors.
17. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Turisztikai fejlesztési feladatok (Tourism Development Activities)
- Current allocation: 54,617.3 millió Ft (operating kiadás) + 52,001.8 millió Ft (felhalmozási kiadás) = 106,619.1 millió Ft total
- Classification: Immediate Cut (operating subsidies); Phase-Out over 3 years (capital projects already under construction)
- Rationale: Tourism is one of Hungary’s most commercially viable industries, generating approximately 5 billion euros annually in foreign exchange earnings. The industry’s commercial success provides no justification for state subsidies — on the contrary, the profitability of Hungarian tourism is itself evidence that private capital allocation is functioning. State tourism development spending — through the Magyar Turisztikai Ügynökség (Hungarian Tourism Agency) and related programs — creates artificial demand signals for investment in specific tourism segments (wellness, cultural, rural), displacing more productive private investment choices. The 52,001.8 millió Ft in capital expenditure likely covers ongoing infrastructure projects (hotel construction, spa development, visitor center builds). The 54,617.3 millió Ft in operating spending covers marketing, promotion, agency operations, and grant distribution.
- Transition mechanism: Terminate all operating grants and marketing appropriations immediately (year 1). Capital projects already under construction: complete only those where sunk costs exceed 50% of project value; terminate the rest in year 1-2. No new tourism capital commitments. The Magyar Turisztikai Ügynökség should be liquidated and its functions transferred to private tourism industry associations.
- Affected groups: Tourism businesses receiving development grants (hotels, hospitality operators). The Magyar Turisztikai Ügynökség staff. Tourists and hotel guests are unaffected — private operators will continue marketing their own services.
18. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Hozzájárulás a Művészetek Palotájának működtetéséhez (Contribution to the Operation of the Palace of Arts / Müpa)
- Current allocation: 16,353.6 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (5 years)
- Rationale: The Müpa Budapest (Művészetek Palotája, Palace of Arts) is a state-owned concert hall and performing arts complex. It is 100% state-owned and was constructed under a PPP arrangement that imposes long-term availability payment obligations on the state. The 16,353.6 millió Ft in annual operating subsidy represents a significant state cultural subsidy. From an Austrian perspective, subjective value theory holds that the value of cultural performances is expressed by what audiences voluntarily pay for tickets. Where a performing arts venue cannot sustain operations from ticket revenues and voluntary donations, it reflects genuine consumer preference — the resources should be reallocated to uses consumers actually value more. However, the Müpa’s large fixed-cost base (the PPP construction debt, facility maintenance, and the existing programming endowment) creates a transition complexity: abrupt elimination would strand the facility. A 5-year phase-out allows ticket pricing to gradually reflect full costs and enables the search for private philanthropic or commercial partners.
- Transition mechanism: Year 1: Freeze subsidy at 2026 levels. Year 2: Reduce by 20% and require Müpa to increase ticket revenues and attract corporate sponsorship. Years 3-5: Reduce subsidy by a further 20% per year, reaching zero by end of year 5. If the facility cannot sustain itself privately by year 5, offer the physical asset for sale or long-term lease to a private cultural operator.
- Affected groups: Müpa staff (several hundred employees). Performing artists and ensembles who perform there. Audiences who benefit from subsidized ticket prices will face higher prices or reduced programming. The “unseen” are the taxpayers who would have spent their portion of 16,353.6 millió Ft on cultural, entertainment, or other goods of their own choosing.
19. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. beruházása (Buda Health Center Investment)
- Current allocation: 6,883.8 millió Ft (felhalmozási kiadás)
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: The Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. (Buda Health Center Ltd.) is a private healthcare company — majority-owned by Sándor Csányi, Hungary’s wealthiest individual — that is building a new private hospital in Buda. The total project cost is approximately 62 billion forint, with the state contributing 26 billion over several years, of which 6,883.8 millió Ft is budgeted for 2026 (following an approximately 7,700 millió Ft allocation in 2024 that was later rescinded). This is textbook corporate welfare: a state capital transfer to a profitable private enterprise owned by a well-connected oligarch. It represents the direct channeling of taxpayer resources into private capital accumulation, with no public goods rationale. The beneficiaries are the company’s shareholders. The “unseen” are all the public services that could have been funded with these resources, or all the taxpayers who would have kept the money.
- Transition mechanism: Zero the line in the 2026 budget cycle. Communicate to Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. that no further state capital contributions will be forthcoming. The company is commercially viable and can proceed with the project using private capital.
- Affected groups: Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. shareholders and management. No adverse effect on healthcare patients — the facility is a private hospital charging market rates.
20. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Nemzetközi tagdíjak (International Membership Dues)
- Current allocation: 9,713.8 millió Ft
- Classification: Nominal Freeze
- Rationale: International membership dues cover Hungary’s obligatory payments to international and intergovernmental organizations — likely including the OECD, WTO, IMF quota contributions, UN system agencies, and trade-related international bodies. Some of these memberships are genuinely valuable for Hungary’s trade and economic integration; others fund international bureaucracies with minimal concrete benefit to Hungarian citizens. The OECD membership, for example, provides valuable statistical and policy research; WTO membership is essential for Hungary’s export-oriented economy. However, membership in various UN agencies and international development bodies is of more dubious value from a libertarian standpoint. A nominal freeze is appropriate in the absence of detailed line-level breakdown; a subsequent audit should identify which specific memberships could be exited.
- Transition mechanism: Freeze at 2026 level. Commission an audit of all individual international memberships to identify any that should be terminated. Any savings from exited memberships should flow to general budget revenue reduction.
- Affected groups: International organizations receiving dues. Negligible domestic effect.
21. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Fogyasztóvédelemmel kapcsolatos feladatok (Consumer Protection Activities)
- Current allocation: 419.2 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (5 years, concurrent with NKFH phase-out)
- Rationale: This line covers chapter-managed consumer protection activities separate from the NKFH’s own institutional budget. These are likely grants to consumer advocacy organizations, awareness campaigns, and policy development costs. As the NKFH itself is phased out, this chapter-level spending should simultaneously wind down.
- Transition mechanism: Reduce proportionally with the NKFH phase-out. By year 5, zero.
- Affected groups: Consumer advocacy NGOs and program administrators.
22. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Társadalmi párbeszéddel kapcsolatos feladatok (Social Dialogue Activities)
- Current allocation: 673.4 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: “Társadalmi párbeszéd” (social dialogue) is a term used in Hungarian policy for the government’s engagement with trade unions and employer associations in formal tripartite or bipartite consultation bodies (e.g., the Versenyszféra és a Kormány Állandó Konzultációs Fóruma, VKF). These state-funded dialogue processes serve to give institutional voice to organized interest groups — particularly trade unions — in the setting of minimum wages, working conditions regulations, and sectoral agreements. From an Austrian perspective, this is state-funded lobbying by organized labor at taxpayer expense. Voluntary civil society dialogue needs no state appropriation; if trade unions and employer associations want to consult with government, they can do so from their own resources. The 673.4 millió Ft appropriation is a subsidy to specific interest groups.
- Transition mechanism: Zero the line in the 2026 budget. Social dialogue may continue voluntarily between unions and employer organizations without state facilitation funding.
- Affected groups: Trade unions and employer associations receiving facilitation or secretariat funding from this line. Formal consultation processes may be disrupted — an acceptable trade-off since their economic output is mainly regulatory interventionism.
23. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Egyéb ágazati feladatok (Other Sectoral Activities)
- Current allocation: 1,203.2 millió Ft
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: The catch-all “other sectoral activities” line reflects miscellaneous industrial and economic policy activities that did not fit into defined sub-programs. Without specific activity detail, the appropriate presumption for an unspecified discretionary line of this size is elimination.
- Transition mechanism: Zero the line. Any legally obligated payments within this line should be separately identified and funded from clearly defined appropriations.
- Affected groups: Unspecified.
24. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Fejezeti általános tartalék (Chapter General Reserve)
- Current allocation: 300.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Nominal Freeze
- Rationale: A modest contingency reserve for unforeseen in-year needs is a reasonable practice in any organization. 300.0 millió Ft is small relative to the chapter’s scale. Freeze is appropriate.
- Transition mechanism: Freeze at 2026 nominal level.
- Affected groups: Indirect — provides fiscal flexibility for the chapter.
25. Fejezeti kezelésű előirányzatok — Egyes korábban kihelyezett támogatások elszámolása (Settlement of Previously Disbursed Support)
- Current allocation: 857.8 millió Ft (operating) + 857.8 millió Ft (felhalmozási kiadás); note: 857.8 also appears as operating bevétel implying full offset
- Classification: Nominal Freeze (accounting entry)
- Rationale: This line settles prior-year support disbursements — it is primarily a technical accounting adjustment for grants previously paid and now being formally settled, balanced by a matching revenue entry. The net fiscal impact is approximately zero, but the gross appropriation must be maintained for accounting completeness.
- Transition mechanism: Maintain as a technical accounting line. As prior-year grant programs are terminated, the need for this settlement line will diminish.
- Affected groups: Administrative; recipients of prior-year grants whose accounts are being settled.
26. Központi kezelésű előirányzatok — Egyetemes postai szolgáltató méltánytalan többletterhének megtérítése (Compensation for Universal Postal Service Provider’s Unfair Extra Burden)
- Current allocation: 6,051.0 millió Ft
- Classification: Phase-Out (3 years)
- Rationale: This line compensates Magyar Posta Zrt. (Hungarian Post Ltd.) for the “méltánytalan többletteher” (unfair extra burden) it bears as the designated universal postal service provider — the legal obligation to deliver mail to all addresses in Hungary at uniform regulated prices, even where this is commercially unviable (sparse rural areas, low-volume routes). The universal service obligation is itself a state-created market distortion: by requiring a single operator to cross-subsidize unprofitable routes, it prevents market-based pricing that would reflect the true cost of delivery. The correct Austrian approach is to remove the universal service obligation and allow postal pricing to reflect actual costs, with genuinely needy rural populations served by targeted and time-limited demand-side subsidies rather than operator-side cost compensation. The 6,051.0 millió Ft is an annual subsidy to Magyar Posta’s shareholders (100% state-owned) laundered through a service obligation framework.
- Transition mechanism: Years 1-3: Commission a study of genuinely unserved rural areas where postal service would be completely absent without cross-subsidy. Year 2: Replace the blanket universal service compensation with a targeted, transparent demand-side grant covering only those specific routes where no private provider would serve at any price. Year 3: Eliminate the universal service legal requirement and allow Magyar Posta to price freely. Total savings in year 3: up to 6,051.0 millió Ft annually.
- Affected groups: Magyar Posta (loss of annual subsidy) and its workforce. Rural residents in commercially unviable postal areas may face higher postal prices or reduced frequency.
27. Központi kezelésű előirányzatok — Űriparfejlesztési és űrtechnológiai feladatok (Space Industry Development and Space Technology Activities)
- Current allocation: 100.0 millió Ft (egyéb kiadások)
- Classification: Immediate Cut
- Rationale: State-funded space industry development is industrial policy applied to one of the most capital-intensive and high-risk sectors imaginable. The 100.0 millió Ft appropriation almost certainly funds participation in European Space Agency programs or domestic space-tech grant schemes. While space technology has genuine market applications (satellite communications, remote sensing), these are served by private investment globally. A 100.0 millió Ft line item cannot meaningfully advance Hungary’s competitive position in space technology; it serves primarily as a signal of political alignment with European technology policy agendas. Eliminate.
- Transition mechanism: Cut in the 2026 budget. Any ESA program participation obligations should be reviewed; many can be discontinued with 12 months’ notice.
- Affected groups: Small number of aerospace engineering firms or research institutions receiving grants.
Revenue Items
Operating Revenue by Institution
The chapter’s total operating revenue is 161,878.5 millió Ft and capital (felhalmozási) revenue is 1,319.9 millió Ft. The revenue items recorded in the institutional tables are own-revenues (saját bevételek) from fees, services, and program repayments. No central tax revenues appear in this chapter — those are consolidated in Chapter XLII.
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Name: Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium igazgatása — saját bevétel (Own revenue of NGM administration)
- Current yield: 771.9 millió Ft operating + 20.0 millió Ft capital
- Type: Fee / Charge
- Notes: Fees from regulatory services, publications, possibly international cost-sharing. If the ministry is restructured, these fee revenues fall with the activity.
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Name: Nemzeti Akkreditáló Hatóság — saját bevétel (NAH own revenue)
- Current yield: 890.0 millió Ft
- Type: Fee (accreditation fees paid by certification bodies and testing laboratories)
- Notes: Near-cost-covering. Under the nominal freeze scenario, fee revenues are expected to grow with the volume of accreditation activity, eventually eliminating the residual state subsidy.
-
Name: Nemzeti Kereskedelmi és Fogyasztóvédelmi Hatóság — saját bevétel (NKFH own revenue)
- Current yield: 20.1 millió Ft
- Type: Fee / Fine proceeds
- Notes: Minimal own revenue relative to the institution’s cost. The revenue disappears when the NKFH is phased out.
-
Name: Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal — saját bevétel (NAV own revenue)
- Current yield: 9,477.2 millió Ft operating + 192.1 millió Ft capital
- Type: Fee / Service charge (banking supervision fees, enforcement cost recoveries, seized asset proceeds)
- Notes: Substantial own revenue. Remains intact under Keep classification.
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Name: Közbeszerzési és Ellátási Főigazgatóság — saját bevétel (KEF own revenue)
- Current yield: 28,200.0 millió Ft operating + 200.0 millió Ft capital
- Type: Service charge (procurement facilitation fees charged to contracting authorities)
- Notes: The KEF’s large own-revenue reflects the throughput fees it charges on centralized procurement contracts. Under the phase-out scenario, this revenue disappears as KEF’s role is eliminated — but so does the matching 194,448.3 millió Ft in dologi kiadás, yielding a large net saving.
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Name: Magyar Államkincstár — saját bevétel (Treasury own revenue)
- Current yield: 29,491.3 millió Ft operating + 50.0 millió Ft capital
- Type: Fee (treasury services fees charged to budget institutions)
- Notes: Substantial. Remains under Keep/Nominal Freeze; declines gradually as social transfer programs are phased out and the Treasury’s serviced client base shrinks.
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Name: Széchenyi Kártya Programok — visszafizetések és program-bevételek (Széchenyi Card Programs — repayments and program revenues)
- Current yield: 93,028.0 millió Ft
- Type: Loan repayment / guarantee fee receipts
- Notes: This is the loan repayment and guarantee fee income recycled through the program’s gross appropriation. Under the phase-out, this revenue stream diminishes proportionally as the loan portfolio runs off — the net fiscal saving is therefore the difference between the gross kiadás reduction and this bevétel reduction.
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Name: Turisztikai fejlesztési feladatok — bevétel (Tourism development revenues)
- Current yield: 52,001.8 millió Ft (felhalmozási bevétel)
- Type: EU transfer / Grant repayment
- Notes: The 52,001.8 millió Ft in capital revenue almost certainly represents EU cohesion and structural fund reimbursements for co-financed tourism projects. The expenditure of 52,001.8 millió Ft in felhalmozási kiadás may therefore be approximately self-financed from EU transfers. Under the Immediate Cut scenario for operating subsidies, care must be taken not to forfeit already-committed EU co-financing; the capital program reduction should be managed to avoid triggering repayment obligations on previously drawn EU funds.
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Name: Egyes korábban kihelyezett támogatások elszámolása — bevétel (Settlement of previously disbursed support — revenue)
- Current yield: 857.8 millió Ft
- Type: Grant repayment (recovery of previously disbursed support)
- Notes: Technical offset entry; net fiscal impact is zero.
Chapter Summary
| Classification | Count | Total (millió Ft) |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate Cut | 9 | 50,875.7 |
| Phase-Out | 8 | 461,093.9 |
| Nominal Freeze | 8 | 649,311.8 |
| Keep | 1 | 304,301.5 (NAV — gross) |
| Total | 26 | 1,161,281.4 (approximate; some sub-items double-count gross flows) |
Note on totals: The chapter total is 1,161,281.4 millió Ft per the summary table. The classification totals above are approximate due to the gross treatment of the Széchenyi Kártya (which has matching revenues) and the KEF (which passes through procurement spending for the whole government). The economically meaningful fiscal savings from the cuts and phase-outs should be measured in net terms.
Year-1 direct saving from Immediate Cuts (gross): approximately 50,875.7 millió Ft Estimated year-1 saving from Phase-Out commencements: approximately 15,000 millió Ft (year-1 tranches from tourism operating, Széchenyi Kártya new commitments, postal compensation) 10-year full saving from Phase-Outs: approximately 400,000-450,000 millió Ft cumulatively
| Revenue | Total (millió Ft) |
|---|---|
| Total chapter revenue | 163,198.4 |
| of which: own operating revenue | 161,878.5 |
| of which: own capital revenue | 1,319.9 |
Key Observations
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The chapter is overwhelmingly dominated by three fiscally massive items: the Széchenyi Kártya subsidized credit programs (324,690.0 millió Ft gross), the KEF pass-through procurement budget (194,448.3 millió Ft in dologi kiadás alone), and the NAV tax enforcement apparatus (304,301.5 millió Ft). Together these three items represent approximately 71 percent of total chapter expenditure.
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The KEF’s dologi kiadás of 194,448.3 millió Ft almost certainly does not represent KEF’s own organizational expenditures, but rather the gross value of centralized contracts it administers on behalf of all government institutions. This is a pass-through budget item. The fiscal saving from phasing out KEF is the elimination of the centralization overhead and any markup, not the full 194 billion — though decentralization would return procurement decision-making to individual ministries.
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The Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. subsidy (6,883.8 millió Ft) is the most egregious single case of corporate welfare in this chapter. It represents a direct capital transfer to a privately-owned, commercially-operated healthcare company whose majority shareholder is among Hungary’s wealthiest individuals. There is no public goods argument for this transfer.
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The tourism development capital budget (52,001.8 millió Ft in felhalmozási kiadás) is matched almost exactly by a same-sized felhalmozási bevétel line, suggesting it is primarily EU-funded. Any reduction must account for EU co-financing conditionality to avoid repayment obligations on already-drawn funds.
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The Széchenyi Kártya phase-out will cause genuine short-term economic disruption among the estimated 50,000-100,000 SME borrowers. The Austrian response is that this disruption — though real — reflects the correction of previous malinvestment. The sooner the credit distortion is removed, the sooner capital is reallocated to sustainable uses. The transition must be managed by allowing existing loan contracts to run to maturity, not by forced early repayment.
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The chapter contains an unusually high ratio of chapter-managed (fejezeti kezelésű) and centrally-managed (központi kezelésű) appropriations relative to institutional budgets. This structural feature reflects the NGM’s role as the primary vehicle for the government’s active industrial and economic policy. From an Austrian perspective, this architecture is itself the problem: it concentrates economic direction in a ministerial bureaucracy rather than in decentralized market actors.
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The Művészetek Palotája / Müpa subsidy (16,353.6 millió Ft) is embedded in a PPP contract structure that creates legal obligations extending beyond the annual budget cycle. Any reduction in state support must navigate the contractual terms of the PPP availability payments before the cultural subsidy component can be fully eliminated.
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The social dialogue funding (673.4 millió Ft) and consumer protection activities (419.2 millió Ft) are relatively small in absolute terms but symbolically important: they represent state subsidization of organized interest group advocacy, which systematically biases policy outcomes toward rent-seeking rather than voluntary market outcomes.
AI-Assisted Analysis
This analysis was produced using an AI multi-agent pipeline applying Austrian economic principles to Hungary's official 2026 budget data. Figures are drawn from the published budget document. Not all numbers have been manually verified — errors may occur. Read our full methodology · Submit a correction
Fiscal Audit
Line Item Breakdown
All expenditure items with classification and savings estimate
| Item | Budget (MFt) | Classification | Year-1 Saving (MFt) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NGM Administration Nemzetgazdasági Minisztérium igazgatása | 18 274,8 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| National Accreditation Authority (NAH) Nemzeti Akkreditáló Hatóság | 1081,9 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| National Trade and Consumer Protection Authority (NKFH) Nemzeti Kereskedelmi és Fogyasztóvédelmi Hatóság | 3814,2 | Phase-Out | 762,8 |
| National Tax and Customs Authority (NAV) Nemzeti Adó- és Vámhivatal | 304 301,5 | Keep | — |
| Central Procurement and Supply Directorate (KEF) Közbeszerzési és Ellátási Főigazgatóság | 215 860,0 | Phase-Out | 71 953,3 |
| Hungarian State Treasury Magyar Államkincstár | 94 399,9 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| National Concession Office (NKI) Nemzeti Koncessziós Iroda | 991,2 | Immediate Cut | 991,2 |
| Széchenyi Card Programs (SME subsidized credit) Széchenyi Kártya Programok | 324 690,0 | Phase-Out | 64 938,0 |
| Agricultural Széchenyi Card Schemes Agrár Széchenyi Kártya Konstrukciók | 20 820,3 | Phase-Out | 4164,1 |
| Institutional Guarantee Fee Subsidies Intézményi kezességi díjtámogatások | 5200,0 | Immediate Cut | 5200,0 |
| MFB Loan Programs (Hungarian Development Bank) MFB hitelprogramok | 500,0 | Immediate Cut | 500,0 |
| Fashion and Creative Industry Development Programs Divat- és kreatívipart érintő vállalkozásfejlesztési programok | 3144,7 | Immediate Cut | 3144,7 |
| Social Contribution Tax Relief Linked to Minimum Wage Increases Minimálbér emeléshez kapcsolódó szociális hozzájárulási adó támogatás | 12 000,0 | Immediate Cut | 12 000,0 |
| Other Business Development Activities Egyéb vállalkozásfejlesztési feladatok | 5306,0 | Immediate Cut | 5306,0 |
| Industrial Development Activities Iparfejlesztési feladatok | 1148,0 | Immediate Cut | 1148,0 |
| Technology Development Activities Technológia fejlesztési feladatok | 574,0 | Immediate Cut | 574,0 |
| Tourism Development Activities — Operating Turisztikai fejlesztési feladatok — működési | 54 617,3 | Immediate Cut | 54 617,3 |
| Tourism Development Activities — Capital Turisztikai fejlesztési feladatok — felhalmozási | 52 001,8 | Phase-Out | 17 333,9 |
| Contribution to Operation of Palace of Arts (Müpa) Hozzájárulás a Művészetek Palotájának működtetéséhez | 16 353,6 | Phase-Out | 3270,7 |
| Buda Health Center Ltd. Investment Budai Egészségközpont Zrt. beruházása | 6883,8 | Immediate Cut | 6883,8 |
| International Membership Dues Nemzetközi tagdíjak | 9713,8 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| Consumer Protection Activities Fogyasztóvédelemmel kapcsolatos feladatok | 419,2 | Phase-Out | 83,8 |
| Social Dialogue Activities Társadalmi párbeszéddel kapcsolatos feladatok | 673,4 | Immediate Cut | 673,4 |
| Other Sectoral Activities Egyéb ágazati feladatok | 1203,2 | Immediate Cut | 1203,2 |
| Chapter General Reserve Fejezeti általános tartalék | 300,0 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| Settlement of Previously Disbursed Support Egyes korábban kihelyezett támogatások elszámolása | 857,8 | Nominal Freeze | — |
| Compensation for Universal Postal Service Provider Extra Burden Egyetemes postai szolgáltató méltánytalan többletterhének megtérítése | 6051,0 | Phase-Out | 2017,0 |
| Space Industry Development and Space Technology Activities Űriparfejlesztési és űrtechnológiai feladatok | 100,0 | Immediate Cut | 100,0 |
| Total | 1 161 281,4 | 256 865,2 |
Szabad Társadalom Kutatóintézet
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